AMD or Nvidia: Which AI Chip Stock Would I Buy With $1,000 Today?

AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) are two of the largest competitors in the AI processor industry. The third primary one is Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), but its niche in that segment differs from theirs. Nvidia and AMD compete in the same field, designing powerful general-purpose chips while Broadcom designs highly specialized computing units for specific AI workloads.

AMD’s share price has more than doubled so far this year, seriously outperforming Nvidia, which is just about flat. However, what matters more for investors is what’s ahead. So, if you’ve got $1,000 ready to invest, is AMD or Nvidia the better stock to buy today? I think it’s clearly Nvidia, and the numbers speak for themselves.

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Image of the AMD and Nvidia logos.
Image source: The Motley Fool.

Investors are still waiting for Nvidia’s fiscal Q3 results

On Nov. 3, AMD reported its fiscal Q3 earnings. Nvidia’s fiscal quarters end one month later than AMD’s, so we’ll have to wait until Nov. 17 to hear from Nvidia. However, AMD’s results were pretty strong.

What investors care about most when comparing these two are their data center divisions. For AMD, this segment saw revenue growth of 97% year over year to $8.5 billion. While that was a strong result, it was still a slowdown from Q2’s 107% growth to $6.7 billion.

When Nvidia reports on Nov. 17, investors will be looking closely to see if it follows suit with a growth slowdown, or if it continues to report accelerating revenue gains. During Nvidia’s fiscal Q2, its data center revenue rose 117% year over year to $89 billion. So, despite sales that were more than 10 times larger than AMD’s, it was growing significantly faster. If it can keep up the trend of growing faster than AMD, I think this scores a major point in Nvidia’s favor, as it’s far harder for such a massive business to grow that fast.

However, Nvidia’s overall business is far more leveraged to the state of the data center segment than AMD is. In fiscal Q2, Nvidia’s total revenue was $96.2 billion, so its $89 billion data center revenue made up over 90% of its total. In Q3, AMD’s $8.5 billion total was well over half of AMD’s $13.3 billion, but its other segments make a much more meaningful contribution to its results. This could be a bad thing for AMD if data center spending takes off over the next few years (like it’s projected to do), or it could be a good thing if the data center build-out slows due to new laws and regulations being passed.

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