Brentford vs Liverpool prediction, tips and odds

Brentford vs Liverpool

Key Details

Premier League, Matchweek 7
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · 15:00 BST
Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford
Referee: John Brooks

Our Prediction

Brentford 2-2 Liverpool

Key Stat

Both teams have scored in four of Brentford’s last five Premier League matches

Top Tip

Igor Thiago to Score Anytime

Brentford go into Saturday’s home fixture against Liverpool having not lost a single Premier League match this season, an unbeaten league run of six games that has Keith Andrews’ side sitting in fourth place with ten points, and the Gtech Community Stadium will be a stern test of Andoni Iraola’s Liverpool.

The ninth-placed visitors arrive in London with nine points following their 3-0 home defeat in the Premier League against Manchester City last weekend, and Iraola will hope that his side can rally together to get the better of Brentford’s physically imposing frontline.

Brentford vs Liverpool: Preview and Form

What stands out most about Brentford’s start to the season is their remarkable consistency given Andrews’ side are unbeaten against the likes of Aston Villa, Chelsea, Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur, with the club beating Chelsea and Spurs.

The 3-0 home win against the Blues in matchweek five should deeply worry the visitors considering their hosts have shown that they can be ruthless against teams that underestimate them, especially sides that are expected to dominate possession.

It should be noted that they have drawn four times in the league this season, so if there was a criticism of the Bees, it would be that they can be guilty of struggling to get over the line in games. However, Andrews will have the luxury of being able to rely on counter-attacks against Liverpool, an area that his team excel at, and they will also pose a threat from set pieces.

Kevin Schade, Brentford’s top scorer this season (three), is a doubt for Saturday with a shoulder problem, and his absence would place the goalscoring burden more heavily on Igor Thiago, whose movement and hold-up play up front will be crucial if the hosts are to escape the visitors’ press.

Brentford vs Liverpool Comparison

Last 5 Premier League games

Liverpool’s 3-0 defeat against Manchester City is difficult to interpret, as while losing by such a margin at home cannot be dismissed, they were arguably the better team until Ryan Gravenberch was sent off on the hour mark with the scores level.

The Reds managed to beat LASK 6-3 in the Champions League on Wednesday despite making numerous changes, and though they have now conceded six goals in two games, the Merseysiders have largely improved at the back compared to 2025-26. In fact, the club have kept three clean sheets in their last four Premier League games.

Florian Wirtz performed excellently against LASK, though after significant criticism following his display against City, there have been calls from fans and pundits for the German playmaker to be dropped. Whether the likes of Dominik Szoboszlai will be fit enough to claim a starting spot remains to be seen.

Bradley Barcola’s hat-trick against LASK in the Champions League was no doubt a major boost for the winger, who had failed to score in his first six games for the Reds, and he must be as ruthless on Saturday given there are question marks about the availability of Cody Gakpo and Alexander Isak.

Team News: Brentford vs Liverpool

Brentford

Brentford – Outs & Doubts

OUT

Kaye Furo

Ankle/foot surgery – return expected late November

OUT

Josh Dasilva

Thigh injury – return expected around 31 October

OUT

Antoni Milambo

ACL – no return date set

DOUBT

Kevin Schade

Shoulder – missed full training

DOUBT

Nathan Collins

Calf – 50% chance of featuring

DOUBT

Jannik Schuster

Ankle – 50% chance of featuring

DOUBT

Mikkel Damsgaard

Ankle – 75% chance of featuring

Andrews faces a defensive selection headache, with both Nathan Collins and Jannik Schuster a doubt for Saturday’s game, leaving the manager potentially short of centre-back options.

Kristoffer Ajer and Sepp van den Berg are expected to start in the heart of defence if Collins cannot recover in time, and while they may not be the first-choice pairing, they are experienced enough at the top level to get by.

Mikkel Damsgaard is close to being available, and he has more of a chance of featuring than Brentford’s other doubts. Andrews is still likely to bring him off the bench as a precaution rather than risk him from the start, with Mamadou Sangare partnering Vitaly Janelt in the double pivot.

Predicted Brentford XI (4-2-3-1): Kelleher; Kayode, Ajer, Van den Berg, Diouf; Janelt, Sangare; Anthony, Jensen, Lewis-Potter; Thiago

Liverpool

Liverpool – Outs & Doubts

SUSPENDED

Ryan Gravenberch

One-match ban following red card vs Manchester City

OUT

Hugo Ekitike

Achilles – long-term, return expected December

OUT

Conor Bradley

Knee – long-term, return expected around January 2027

OUT

Giovanni Leoni

Knee/ACL – return expected late October

DOUBT

Alexander Isak

Thigh – 50% chance of featuring

DOUBT

Dominik Szoboszlai

Hamstring – 50% chance of featuring

DOUBT

Cody Gakpo

Ankle – 25% chance of featuring

Gravenberch’s suspension is the most straightforward of Liverpool’s selection problems, but there are serious doubts surrounding Isak, Szoboszlai and Gakpo, with their potential absences causing major problems in midfield and attack.

Isak and Gakpo were both absent from Liverpool’s travelling squad at LASK in midweek, a decision that confirms their fitness management is active rather than precautionary, and a place on the bench feels the most likely outcome if they travel to London.

Barcola is a certain selection on the left side of attack following his hat-trick against LASK, and unless Szoboszlai is declared fit, then Wirtz can be expected to start as a number 10. Lewis Koumas may be trusted to lead the line as a centre-forward, while Victor Munoz could be selected on the right.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-3-3): Alisson; Araujo, Jacquet, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Mac Allister, Nyoni; Munoz, Wirtz, Barcola; Koumas

Head-to-Head: Brentford vs Liverpool

Head-to-Head Record

Brentford wins

Draws

Liverpool wins

All-time record across 24 meetings

Last meeting: Brentford 3-2 Liverpool, October 2025 (Premier League)

Last 10 Premier League meetings

Brentford 2
Draws 2
Liverpool 6

Liverpool hold a commanding advantage across the full history between these sides, winning 14 of their 24 encounters with Brentford, who have registered just five victories against the Reds.

Since Brentford’s promotion to the Premier League in 2021, Liverpool have won six of the ten Premier League meetings between the clubs, with Brentford taking two and the pair drawing twice.

The Bees have been far more competitive at home in the Premier League era, winning twice, losing twice and drawing once with the Reds at the Gtech, with their most recent meeting at the ground a 3-2 win for the hosts in October 2025. Four of the last five fixtures at this stadium have produced four or more goals between them, and neutrals will be hoping for more of the same.

The one exception in those five Gtech meetings was in January 2025, when Liverpool emerged as 2-0 winners, and perhaps it should be a comfort for Iraola that his side have scored at least two goals in each of their last three visits to the stadium.

Brentford managed to earn a point at Anfield in the final game of 2025-26, when they drew 1-1 to prevent Mohamed Salah signing off with a win in his final ever game for the Reds.

Our Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction and Tips

Top Tip

Igor Thiago to Score Anytime

@ 1.97 (Bet365)

With Kevin Schade a doubt, Thiago carries the full weight of Brentford’s goalscoring burden on Saturday. He has already netted three Premier League goals this season and his movement in behind Liverpool’s backline could create havoc.

Value Bet

Over 3.5 Goals

@ 2.38 (Bet365)

Four of the last five Premier League meetings between these sides at the Gtech Community Stadium produced four or more goals, with only Liverpool’s 2-0 win in January 2025 falling short. Brentford have scored nine times and conceded six across their last five league games, while Liverpool’s defending at home against Manchester City and away to LASK was questionable.

Longshot

Correct Score: Brentford 2-2 Liverpool

@ 12.00 (Bet365)

A 2-2 scoreline aligns with everything the evidence points to in this fixture. Brentford have drawn four of their last five league games, two of them finishing 2-2, while four of the last five meetings at the Gtech have yielded four or more goals. Liverpool have the attacking quality to score twice, but Brentford’s home record makes it difficult to see the Reds winning. Those who believe this fixture plays out exactly as our prediction suggests will find 12.00 a compelling price.

Free Choice

Liverpool to Score First

@ 2.00 (Bet365)

Bradley Barcola comes into Saturday’s game on the back of his first ever hat-trick, and Liverpool will want to stamp their authority early after their humbling against Manchester City last weekend. Liverpool have scored first in three of their last four games, so they could quite easily continue that trend.

Odds correct as of Thursday, 16 October 2026, 18:00 BST. Odds subject to change.

Our Prediction

Brentford 2-2 Liverpool

Brentford’s unbeaten six-game start in the league, and their record at the Gtech, makes it difficult to see the hosts losing. Liverpool have often scored multiple times against the Bees, and they could take advantage of Brentford’s injuries at the back. A 2-2 stalemate should not be discounted, though it remains to be seen if either team would be satisfied with a point on Saturday.

  • Igor Thiago to score for Brentford — the Brazilian is the hosts’ primary outlet with Schade a doubt, and his movement in behind should still trouble the Liverpool backline.
  • Bradley Barcola to score for Liverpool — the Frenchman arrives at the Gtech on the back of a hat-trick against LASK, and he will relish the chance to score his first Premier League goal.
  • Florian Wirtz to score for Liverpool — the German has drawn criticism after a subdued display against City, but he will be determined to answer his doubters, especially after a strong display in Europe.

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