EUR/GBP’s decline continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 100% projection of 0.8728 to 0.8453 from 0.8611 at 0.8336. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.8231. On the upside, above 0.8393 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8221 (2024 low) should have completed at 0.8863, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.9267 (2025 high) to 0.8221 at 0.8867. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.8221. For now, outlook will be stay bearish as long as 0.8611 resistance hold.
In the long term picture, price action from 0.9499 (2020 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9799 (2008 high). Range trading should continue between 0.8201 and 0.9499, until there is clear signal of imminent breakout.
